Deutsche Bank AGestimates it could lose the equivalent of almost a fifth ofCommerzbank AG’sannual revenue should it go ahead with a takeover of the lender, another potential sticking point for a deal that’s run into hurdles of late.
Customers seeking to reduce their exposure to the combined lender could pull business worth 1 billion euros to 1.5 billion euros ($1.1 billion to $1.7 billion), people familiar with the matter said. The estimate is a key factor in deciding whether a deal makes sense, the people said, asking not to be identified in discussing internal deliberations.
The chief executive officers of both banks have emphasized that the outcome of their talks is open and they would only go ahead if the numbers work out. The loss of business and expected restructuring costs would have to be offset over time by cost savings, currently estimated at about 40 percent of Commerzbank’s cost base, or 2.7 billion euros, the people said.